Aviation activity
- A-50 AEW&C aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces was damaged as a result of a sabotage at Machulishchy airfield.
- Military transport aircraft Il-76 and An-26 of the Russian Aerospace Forces arrived at Machulishchy airfield.
Rail activity
- A military cargo train with equipment of the Russian Armed Forces was being formed at Asipovichy-1 station. According to preliminary information, the train went towards Russia.
- A military cargo train of the Russian Armed Forces that was spotted in Slonim on February 24 went to Rostov oblast, Russia.
- It was reported on a military cargo train with equipment of the Russian Armed Forces that was being formed at Liasnaya station (near the Obuz-Liasnouski training ground, Baranavichy district).
- A military cargo train with equipment of the 350th artillery group of the 6th Mechanized Brigade of the Belarusian Armed Forces was spotted at Parechcha station. Earlier it was reported on the conduct of the combat readiness inspection with the units.
Movements by road
- A large column (10+ units) with fuel trucks of the Russian Armed Forces was recorded on the M1 highway (Haradzeya → Baranavichy). Also, a column of 7 fuel trucks was recorded on the M1 highway (Baranavichy → Dziarzhynsk). Single vehicles and small columns of the Russian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk, Mazyr, Homel, and on some sections of the M1 highway.
- No large columns (10+ units) with military vehicles of the Belarusian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Belarusian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk, Machulishchy, and on some sections of the M5 and M6 highways.
Military activity on the territory of Belarus on February 25-26 / Belarusian Hajun
General conclusion
The conclusion on the situation made in the report for February 6 remains valid.
It should be mentioned that the activity of movements of the Russian Armed Forces by rail may indicate the beginning of rotation of part of the troops who have completed their combat training at the training grounds of the Belarusian Armed Forces. However, so far only the withdrawal of military equipment and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces to the territory of Russia (to the areas bordering Ukraine) has been recorded. No new redeployments of troops to Belarus have been recorded so far. We recall that in the first half of January 2023, we have already recorded a similar rotation.
The withdrawal of part of the Russian contingent of the regional group of troops from Belarus to Russia is an evidence of the fact that the Russian Armed Forces are not planning to conduct an offensive operation from the territory of Belarus in the short term. The function of Belarus in this case is to be a training base for the Russian military.
Changes in the size of the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus:
Left Belarus:
- Equipment — at least 43 units (a command staff vehicle R-149BMR Kushetka-B and R-149MA1, a field command center APE-5, etc.);
- Personnel — ≈250 people.
