Russian information and analytical agency PortNews writes about it. The fact is that the volume of Belarusian potash production is about 11-12 million tons per year (which is a lot), and sea transportation through ports is used to bring it to the buyer. Earlier, Belarusian potash used to be transported through the ports of the Baltic states, but now it is impossible, and Belarusian authorities claim that it will carry potash through Russia, but there are nuances.
First, Russia exported about 8 million tons per year of mineral fertilizers through the ports of the Baltic states, and now has to look for facilities to quickly redirect them to its own ports amid sanctions. At the same time, Alexander Drozdenko, the governor of Leningrad oblast (Russia), said after a recent meeting with Lukashenka that the Belarusian side might be given «part of the region’s port facilities» to manage, as well as land to building its own facilities. However, it is not clear what kind of land is being discussed.
Actually, there is no free terminal for such volume of transportation in Russia now. Indeed, it is possible to build a separate covered terminal to receive large bulk carriers, for example, in the ports of Primorsk or Murmansk. But building such a terminal will take years, especially taking into account the environmental component of the project.
At the moment, according to experts, transshipment of fertilizers in containers or big bags may be a temporary solution, but it is hardly possible to export even a tenth of the declared volumes in this way.
Howevere, the experts polled by PortNews don’t see an effective possibility to process 11 million tons of Belarusian potash per year at the existing facilities in Russia.