Aviation activity
- 8 Su-34 and Su-30 fighters of the Russian Aerospace Forces arrived at Baranavichy airfield. The aircraft arrived to participate in the joint tactical flight exercises of the Belarusian and Russian Armed Forces.
- Yesterday, 4 military transport An-12 and An-26 aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces arrived at Baranavichy airfield. It’s possible that they could have brought ammunition for the fighters.
Rail activity
- Movements of equipment of the Russian Armed Forces by rail continued, although their intensity decreased slightly compared to the previous days. Military cargo trains with equipment and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces were recorded in Baranavichy, Slonim, Homel, and on the Zhytkavichy-Homel line.
- We should also mention a military cargo train of the Russian Armed Forces with 30-40 vehicles (infantry fighting vehicles, APCs, KamAZ trucks and fuel trucks) and five passenger cars (≈250 people), which was moving from Zhytkavichy to Homel. We may assume that it further went towards Russia, but the information is still being clarified.
- The arrival of two military cargo trains of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus on January 11 and 12 at Slonim railway station was confirmed. In total, at least 91 vehicles and ≈200 personnel arrived.
- The transfer of another military cargo train with the mobilized Russians trained in Belarus was also confirmed. On January 11, at least 37 vehicles and ≈200 personnel left Belarus.
- A military cargo train of the Belarusian Armed Forces, which probably belongs to the 103rd Brigade, was recorded moving in the direction Luninets → Brest. It consisted of at least 12 BTR-80, 1 Kaiman BRDM, 2 MAZ trucks and passenger cars. The vehicles were marked with a red square.
Movements by road
Several small columns with equipment of the Russian Armed Forces (up to 12 vehicles) were recorded moving along the M1 highway in the directions: Dziarzhynsk → Stoubtsy, Talochyn → Orsha, Stoubtsy → Minsk and along the MKAD-2 → M1 (in the direction of Zhodzina). Single vehicles were also recorded in Brest and Minsk.
Military activity on the territory of Belarus on January 14-15 / Belarusian Hajun
Generał conclusion
The Russian Armed Forces continue withdrawing part of their military equipment and personnel from Belarus. At the same time, new military cargo trains arrive, which indicates the rotation of the mobilized soldiers of the Russian Armed Forces at the Belarusian training grounds. The arrival of new fighters of the Russian Aerospace Forces for the exercises starting in Belarus indicates their scale, and in the coming days and weeks we should expect a significant increase in aviation activity in Belarus, primarily at most airfields and training grounds.
Changes in the number of the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus:
Arrived in Belarus:
- Aviation — 8 Su-34 and Su-30 of the Russian Aerospace Forces;
- Personnel — ≈ 200 people;
- Military vehicles — at least 91 units.
Left Belarus:
- Personnel — ≈ 200 people;
- Military vehicles — at least 37 units.
