Aviation activity
- Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy, Baranavichy and Luniniets airfields. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
- An-26 military transport aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces (RF-71551) arrived at Baranavichy airfield.
- Il-76 military transport aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces (RA-76767) arrived at Machulishchy airfield.
Rail activity
- The formation of a military cargo train with equipment of the Russian Armed Forces, which started on May 12, continued at Asipovichy-1 station.
- A military cargo train with equipment and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces went from Palonka station (Baranavichy district) towards Baranavichy.
Movements by road
- No large columns (10+ pieces) with military vehicles of the Russian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Russian Armed Forces were spotted on some sections of the M3 highway.
- No large columns (10+ pieces) with military vehicles of the Belarusian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Belarusian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk, Homiel, and on some sections of the R53, R91 highways.
Military activity on the territory of Belarus on May 13-14 / Belarusian Hajun
General conclusion
The military cargo trains of the Russian Armed Forces spotted in the Baranavichy district and Asipovichy may indicate the beginning of a new rotation of the Russian contingent trained at the training grounds in Belarus and its redeployment for participation in combat operations in Ukraine.
Since there was a gradual decrease in the number of Russian military stationed at the training grounds of the Belarusian Armed Forces in February-April, currently there are no reasons to expect mass redeployment of military equipment and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces from Belarus to Russia by rail (as it used to happen before).
We recall that the last major withdrawal of units of the Russian Armed Forces from Belarus took place in late February-early March 2023. We also reported on military cargo trains with personnel and equipment of the Russian Armed Forces in April.
Changes in the size of the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus: no data.
