Aviation activity
- Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy, Lida and Baranavichy airfields. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
- A flight of the MiG-31K of the Russian Aerospace Forces was recorded at Machulishchy airfield.
Rail activity
- A military cargo train with equipment of the Belarusian Armed Forces was spotted at Homel-Paunochny station. The equipment could have been delivered for repair or storage.
Movements by road
- No large columns (10+ units) with military vehicles of the Russian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Russian Armed Forces were spotted in Mazyr and on some sections of the M1 highway.
- No large columns (10+ units) with military vehicles of the Belarusian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Belarusian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk, Homel, Pinsk, and on some sections of the M2 highway.
Military activity on the territory of Belarus on March 15 / Belarusian Hajun
General conclusion
The conclusion on the situation made in the report for March 14 remains valid.
Changes in the size of the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus:
According to our estimates, in total, during the rotation (February 24 — March 10, 2023) at least 645 units of military equipment and ≈2900 personnel of the Russian Armed Forces left the territory of Belarus for Russia and the temporarily occupied territories of Ukraine.
In turn, 80-200 units of equipment and ≈600 personnel arrived in Belarus from Russia.