Aviation activity
- Aviation activity was recorded at Machulishchy, Baranavichy and Lida airfields. Flights of aircraft and helicopters of the Belarusian Air Force and Russian Aerospace Forces were recorded.
- A-50U AEW&C aircraft of the Russian Aerospace Forces (RF-50608) left Machulishchy airfield and flew to Taganrog, Russia.
Rail activity
- Information was confirmed about the departure of two military cargo trains with Russian personnel and military equipment from Slonim station on February 28 and March 1. We reported earlier on one of these trains.
- At least two military cargo trains of the Russian Armed Forces (1, 2) departed from Baranavichy and went on the Minsk-Orsha route, further going to Smolensk (Russia). We note that one of the trains contained 17 T-62M tanks (with installed dynamic protection blocks).
Movements by road
- No large columns (10+ units) with military vehicles of the Russian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Russian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk and Baranavichy.
- No large columns (10+ units) with military vehicles of the Belarusian Armed Forces were recorded. Single vehicles and small columns of the Belarusian Armed Forces were spotted in Minsk and Homel.
Military activity on the territory of Belarus on March 2 / Belarusian Hajun
General conclusion
The conclusions on the situation made in the reports for February 6 and February 25-26 remain valid.
The intensity of movements of the Russian Armed Forces by rail remains high, and military equipment (including tanks) and personnel of the Russian Armed Forces are being withdrawn to the territory of Russia. There is information that military cargo trains with equipment and military personnel begin to arrive from Russia to Belarus (information is being verified).
This means that there is a rotation of the Russian troops in Belarus: the trained ones are sent to the combat zone, and others arrive instead (for training).
Changes in the size of the group of the Russian Armed Forces in Belarus:
Left Belarus:
- Equipment — at least 82 units (including 12 pontoon bridge parks (on KrAZ vehicles), 3 boats BMK-150 (on KrAZ vehicles), amphibious transporter PTS-2);
- Personnel — at least 200 people.